5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:36:12 GMT





Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:36:12 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:32:40 GMT





Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 02:32:40 GMT

000

ABNT20 KNHC 302341

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Depression Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean, and on

Tropical Storm Kirk, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.



Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the southwestern

Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure.

Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of

this system, and a tropical depression could form over the next

several days while it moves generally northwestward over the

northwestern Caribbean Sea and the southern Gulf of Mexico.

Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the

progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):

Satellite wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has

formed in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred

miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms

continue to gradually increase in association with the system, and

environmental conditions appear conducive for further development. A

tropical depression is very likely to form during the next few days

while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



$$

Forecaster Reinhart

LEBANON - Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem says the group would appoint a new leader at the earliest opportunity to replace Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and vowed that the Iran-backed movement would continue fighting Israel.